Slowdown in US economic expansion

During the last quarter of 2024, the growth of the United States economy slowed down, achieving an annualized rate of 2.3%, compared to the 3.1% seen in the previous quarter. This reduction happened even with strong consumer spending, which has consistently fueled economic activity.

Consistent Strength in Consumer Spending

Consumer Spending Remains Strong

Consumer expenditure, a critical component of the nation’s economic output, maintained its strength during this period. Households continued to invest in various goods and services, contributing positively to the overall economic performance. This sustained spending indicates that consumers remain confident, even amid potential economic uncertainties.

Factors Contributing to the Slowdown

Several elements contributed to the moderated growth rate:

El mercado laboral ha demostrado ser resistente, manteniendo bajas tasas de desempleo. La generación de empleo ha continuado, aunque a un ritmo más lento, lo que sugiere que las empresas son cautelosamente optimistas respecto a las condiciones económicas futuras. También se ha observado un aumento en los salarios, lo cual apoya el gasto de los consumidores, pero podría contribuir a la inflación si no va acompañado de aumentos en la productividad.

The labor market has shown resilience, with unemployment rates remaining low. Job creation has continued, albeit at a slower pace, indicating that businesses are cautiously optimistic about future economic conditions. Wage growth has also been observed, which supports consumer spending but may contribute to inflation if not matched by productivity gains.

Business Investment Trends

Observaciones del Mercado Inmobiliario

El sector de la vivienda ha atravesado fluctuaciones, con el aumento de las tasas hipotecarias afectando la asequibilidad. Las ventas de viviendas han mostrado señales de enfriamiento y la actividad de construcción se ha moderado. Sin embargo, los precios de las viviendas han continuado altos en muchas áreas, lo que indica una demanda persistente a pesar de los desafíos.

Perspectivas para el Año Próximo

Outlook for the Coming Year

Looking ahead, economists anticipate that the U.S. economy will continue to face a complex landscape. While consumer spending is expected to remain a pillar of support, factors such as monetary policy decisions, global economic developments, and domestic fiscal policies will play crucial roles in shaping the trajectory of growth. Policymakers will need to balance efforts to manage inflation with strategies to sustain economic expansion.

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